Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction 7/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Blue Jays Pick.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 45-50 on the year and play the White Sox and Rays next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .244 on the season and have a .306 OBP and a .384 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Ernie Clement leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 105 hits and 30 RBI, while Kazuma Okamoto and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have combined for 167 hits and 103 RBI.

Kevin Gausman gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 4-8 with a 4.32 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. Gausman is 3-1 with a 2.85 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 47-48 on the year and play the Royals and Braves next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 226 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and have a .372 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 103 hits and 35 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 149 hits and 75 RBI.

German Marquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-2 with a 5.02 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. This will be Marquez’s second career game against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last seven games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have lost 12 of their last 19 games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games following a loss.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at Petco Park.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have lost eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Padres’ last three games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as home underdogs.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as road favorites against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• German Marquez has recorded three or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last eight day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Rodolfo Durán has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 5th in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
• Kazuma Okamoto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL West opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks 5th in the league in Hits (105) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (374).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (702).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (262).

Padres vs Blue Jays Prediction

This is another spot where I like the over. Gausman has been a mess over the last month or so, as he’s allowed 38 hits and 27 earned runs in his last 37.1 innings. On the road through 42 innings, Gausman has a 5.57 ERA and a .267 allowed batting average. Marquez has a 5.02 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the season, and through 18 innings at home, he has a 7.50 ERA and .290 allowed batting average. This feels like a high-scoring game with two pitchers who have had their fair share of struggles. Give me the over.