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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction 6/26/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (52-29) vs. San Diego Padres (42-37)
June 26, 2026 9:45 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres 124 / LA Dodgers -149; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Dodgers Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 52-29 on the year and play the Athletics and Padres next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .262 on the season and have a .345 OBP and a .438 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. Andy Pages leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 83 hits and 58 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 164 hits and 89 RBI.

Roki Sasaki gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 3-4 with a 4.76 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Sasaki’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 42-37 on the year and play the Cubs and Dodgers next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 220 on the season, have a .294 OBP, and have a .364 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 85 hits and 28 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 122 hits and 61 RBI.

Walker Buehler gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. This will be Buehler’s second career game against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last six Friday games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Dodgers.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The road team has won each of the Dodgers’ last five games.
  • The Padres have lost three of their last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in four of the Padres’ last five games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 11 games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Dodgers’ last 10 road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last 11 night games against National League opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Freddy Fermin has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances.
  • Walker Buehler has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
  • Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Padres as underdogs.
  • Samad Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Padres as underdogs.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against the Padres.
  • Alex Freeland has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Padres.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.414) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (309).
  • The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (567).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.262).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.438).

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

You guys know I’m always looking for spots to fade the Dodgers. Sasaki has been hittable with a 4.76 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, and he’s allowed 13 hits and 10 runs in his last 17 innings. On the road through 32 innings, Sasaki has a 6.19 ERA and a .256 allowed batting average. Buehler is finding his footing this month as he’s allowed 23 hits and 4 runs in his last 21 innings. Buehler has allowed 3 or fewer runs in each of his last 8 starts. I’ll grab the plus money with the Padres at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego Padres 124

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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