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Padres vs Dodgers Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (53-30) vs. San Diego Padres (43-38)
June 28, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres 123 / LA Dodgers -149; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres do battle Sunday night in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Padres vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Dodgers Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 53-30 on the year and play the Athletics and Padres next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .263 on the season and have a .346 OBP and a .442 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 88 hits and 44 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 170 hits and 104 RBI.

Emmet Sheehan gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 3-5 with a 5.32 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Sheehan is 0-0 with a 5.63 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 43-38 on the year and play the Cubs and Dodgers next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 221 on the season, have a .297 OBP, and have a .366 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 88 hits and 30 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 124 hits and 61 RBI.

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-6 with a 3.33 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. King is 3-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Dodgers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Padres have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games following a win.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against the Dodgers at Petco Park.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games at Petco Park against NL West opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a road win.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road day games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Dodgers’ last five games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Padres’ last five games at home as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last seven games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Ty France has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
  • Michael King has recorded a win in three of his four previous home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Michael King has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last nine day games.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Steals (19) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Mookie Betts has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers’ last three games.
  • Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Shohei Ohtani ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.412) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (319).
  • The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (583).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.263).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.442).

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are favored because they’re the Dodgers, but Sheehan hasn’t been good this season with a 5.32 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, and he’s allowed 18 hits and 13 runs in his last 16 innings. The Dodgers are 0-4 this month with Sheehan on the mound. King is an all-star-caliber pitcher when he’s right, and through 53.1 innings at home, he has a 2.87 ERA and a .217 allowed batting average. The Padres should also have some sort of pride after getting smacked last night. I’ll take a stab with the home team and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego Padres 123

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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