MLB Picks

Padres vs. Giants Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/30/23

San Francisco Giants (11-15) vs. San Diego Padres (14-14)
April 30, 2023 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -145 / San Francisco Giants +125; Over/Under: +20.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres meet in an NL West division matchup in MLB action from the Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

San Diego is listed as a -145 favorite while San Francisco is a +125 underdog. The total for this game is set at 20.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Alex Cobb will start for the Giants and is 1-1 with a 1.91 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. San Diego will start Yu Darvish here and he is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Saturday’s 16-11 win for the Padres made it 8 wins in the last 9 head-to-head meetings for San Diego over San Francisco.

Trends

San Francisco is 2-6 in their last 8 games following a loss and 2-5 in their last 7 division games while the under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 Sunday games. San Diego is 4-1 in their last 5 division games and 2-6 in their last 8 games following a win while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games overall.

Pick

I’m backing the over here. We saw 27 runs and 11 home runs in Saturday’s matchup as the elevation in Mexico City really played a part in the run production. Normally, I’m not a huge believer of backing high totals in altitude like the Colorado Rockies, but this is even higher elevation with hitter-friendly dimensions all across the ballpark. Looking for a high-scoring game here so give me the over here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 20.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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