Padres vs Marlins Prediction 9/20/26 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs. Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs. Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 76-79 on the year and play the Cubs and Braves next. The Miami Marlins are batting .249 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and have a .401 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 184 hits and 69 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Javier Sanoja have combined for 271 hits and 116 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 13-10 with a 3.84 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 86-69 this year and play the Dodgers and Diamondbacks next. The San Diego Padres are batting .243 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 171 hits and 79 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Ty France have combined for 273 hits and 155 RBI.

Walker Buehler gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 8-6 with a 4.58 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. Buehler is 2-1 with a 3.79 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have lost 13 of their last 15 road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games after going to extra innings.
• The Padres have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Marlins.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last seven-day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Padres have lost three of their last four games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL opponents following a home win.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against the Padres.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five-day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Padres’ last 11 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Marlins’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Padres’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Walker Buehler has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five Sunday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games against the Marlins.
• Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 10 games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Graham Pauley has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games.
• Heriberto Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous road appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (185) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
• The Padres rank 4th in the league for steals this season (156).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (159).
• The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (35).

Padres vs Marlins Prediction

Alcantara and plus money is always worth a look, as he’s one of the best arms in the sport when at his best. The problem is the Marlins have run out of gas over the last month and just don’t pack the betting value they once did. The Padres can’t lose these days, and they’re cruising toward a playoff berth. I’m just not excited to step in front of these Padres in their current form. Give me the Padres and he cheap price as they gear up for the postseason.