Padres vs Mets Prediction 6/7/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and San Diego Padres meet Sunday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 28-36 on the year and play the Braves and Cardinals next. The New York Mets are batting .228 on the season, have a .292 OBP, and have a .362 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 59 hits and 32 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 105 hits and 48 RBI.

Sean Manaea gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 5.08 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Manaea is 5-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 33-30 on the year and play the Reds and Orioles next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 214 on the season, have a .289 OBP, and have a .355 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 64 hits and 19 RBI, while Miguel Andujar and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 96 hits and 44 RBI.

Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 5-3 with a 3.31 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Vasquez’s second career game against the New York Mets.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have won each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last seven Sunday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Sunday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last three games.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last six road games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Mets’ last 15 day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (238).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (436).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (80).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.361).

Padres vs Mets Prediction

I’m not excited to get behind either of these underachieving teams that are hard to trust. Instead, I’m looking at the over. Manaea has been hittable this season with a 5.08 ERA and a .270 batting average allowed. In 17.2 road innings, Manaea has a 4.58 ERA and a .261 allowed batting average. Vasquez has been sharper this season overall, but in 35.2 home innings, he has a 4.54 ERA and a .279 batting average allowed. Both lineups have talent, so if the struggles continue for both arms, we should see some fireworks. Give me the over.