Padres vs Mets Prediction 7-29-25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (62-45, 25-29 Away) were on a seven-game winning run after sweeping the Los Angeles Angels and San Francisco Giants. However, that positive streak came to an end with a 7-6 defeat to the Padres in Game 1 on Monday. Mark Vientos led the offense with four RBI, while Frankie Montas pitched for 4.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on eight hits with three strikeouts and two walks. Gregory Soto took the loss.

This season, the Mets average 4.39 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .242/.322/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.52 ERA (3rd) and 1.30 WHIP (20th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .263 batting average, 22 home runs, and 81 RBI this season.

Sean Manaea will take the mound for the Mets on Tuesday. The 33-year-old left-hander has a 1-1 record in two starts this year with a 2.19 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12.1 innings.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres (58-49, 32-18 Home) beat the Washington Nationals, lost to the Miami Marlins, and split a series with the St. Louis Cardinals. The Padres edged out the Mets 7-6 in the opening game of the current series. Luis Arraez and Elias Diaz led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Dylan Cease pitched for 4.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on five hits with nine strikeouts and five walks. Robert Suarez was credited with the win.

This year, the Padres average 3.97 runs per game (25th in the MLB) on a .247/.315/.376 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.60 ERA (5th) and 1.23 WHIP (7th). Manny Machado leads the Padres with a .302 batting average, 19 home runs, and 66 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Ryan Bergert, who is 1-0 in six starts this season, with a 2.84 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 31.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Padres’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Mets’ last 14 games as favorites against the Padres have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight road games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (805).
• The Padres rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (754).
• The Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (386).
• The Mets are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Padres vs Mets Prediction

The teams traded victories in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. I expect another tight affair in Game 2, so I’ll go with Under instead of betting on the winner. Sean Manaea hasn’t played much this season, but he hasn’t allowed more than a run in three appearances. I believe he will be fine against his former team, which has one of the weakest offenses in the MLB. Ryan Bergert, on the other hand, is having an excellent rookie season, and I am backing him to keep the Mets in check. Go with Under.