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Padres vs Nationals Prediction 6/23/25 MLB Picks Today

Washington Nationals (32-46) vs. San Diego Padres (42-35)
June 23, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres / Washington Nationals; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres meet Monday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 32-46 on the year and play the Angels, Tigers, and Red Sox next. The Washington Nationals are batting .241 on the season, have a .308 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.99 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 82 hits and 57 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 138 hits and 61 RBI.

Mitchell Parker gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 4-8 with a 4.59 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Parker’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 42-35 on the year and play the Reds, Phillies, and Rangers next. The San Diego Padres are batting .249 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .379 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Manny Machado leads the San Diego Padres with 89 hits and 46 RBI, while Luis Arraez and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 158 hits and 63 RBI.

Stephen Kolek gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-2 with a 3.59 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Kolek’s second career game against the Washington Nationals.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Nationals.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against National League opponents.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Nationals.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last five night games following a win.
  • The road team has won each of the last three games between the Nationals and Padres.
  • The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the Nationals’ last 11 games.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games following a home win.
  • The Padres have lost the first inning in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Monday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in four of the Padres’ last five games against NL opponents.
  • Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 12 home games against NL East opponents.
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Nationals.
  • Manny Machado has recorded an RBI in six of the Padres’ last seven games against NL East opponents.
  • Jake Cronenworth has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last nine home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Luis Garcia has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last four road games against NL opponents.
  • CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last 11 games against NL West opponents.
  • Josh Bell has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances after playing the previous day.

Padres vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals have won two games since June 7, and they’ve lost five straight games Parker has pitched. In 30.1 road innings, Parker has a 5.93 ERA and a .231 allowed batting average. The Padres got their act together over the weekend, and Kolek has been great this month, allowing seven earned runs and 19 hits in his last 22 innings. Kolek has posted shutouts in four of his nine starts this season. Give me the Padres on Monday night.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: San Diego Padres

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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