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Padres vs Rangers Prediction 7/6/25 MLB Picks Today

Texas Rangers (44-45) vs. San Diego Padres (47-41)
July 6, 2025 9:10 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres / Texas Rangers ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Rangers and the San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Padres vs Rangers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out Jack Leiter for the start here and Leiter is 4-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Leiter’s first career start against the Padres. San Diego did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to build on their 7-4 win over the Padres from Saturday to sit at 44-45 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head on the road for a division series against the Los Angeles Angels.

Rangers Looking For Back-To-Back Series Wins

Corey Seager has 52 hits including 11 home runs and 24 RBIs while Adolis Garcia has 69 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs, 49 RBIs and 8 stolen bases. Josh Jung has 66 hits with 10 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 60 hits with 10 doubles, 13 home runs, 31 RBIs and 11 stolen bases and Jonah Heim has 8 homers and 23 RBIs. Josh Smith has chipped in 75 hits with 12 doubles, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and Marcus Semien’s added 9 homers and 42 RBIs but has 66 strikeouts this season.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

  • The Padres have lost each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The Rangers have won each of their last eight Sunday night road games.
  • The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday night road games.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Corey Seager has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
  • Wyatt Langford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Rangers on Saturday to sit at 47-41 this season. After this series, the Padres will square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks in a division series.

Padres Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Manny Machado has 97 hits including a team-high 21 doubles, 14 home runs, 51 RBIs and 8 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 85 hits with a team-high 15 home runs and 38 RBIs along with 18 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 93 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 4 home runs and 33 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 60 hits with 5 home runs and 28 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 18 doubles and 13 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 RBIs as well this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The Padres have won each of their last nine Sunday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games at Petco Park.
  • The Padres have covered the run line each of their last nine Sunday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 night games against National League opponents following a win.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Padres’ last six games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Rangers’ last 11 games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Padres vs Rangers Prediction

I’m on the under here. I know we had a high-scoring game on Saturday, and normally, I would like to know who the Padres are throwing out for a start like this. But I think that this goes back to basics with a low-scoring battle on Sunday. These are two teams that have been playing to a ton of unders this season, and I think Saturday was an anomaly more than anything else. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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