Padres vs Rockies Prediction 9/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 5^th at the Coors Field in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 39-101 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL West. The Rockies have a 22-50 home record and are 61-75 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-10 home defeat by the Giants, and are 1-7 in their last 8 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Dodgers and the Padres next.

The Rockies have a .241 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .393 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 6.01 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 129 hits, also leading the team both in RBI, with 83, and in home runs, with 27. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average.

Kyle Freeland (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 3-14 record, 5.41 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 76-64 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL West. They have a 33-39 road record, and are 60-74 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 5-7 home defeat by the Orioles, and are 1-6 in their last 7 games. Over is 7-1-2 in their last 10 games and are playing the Reds and the Rockies next.

The Padres have a .252 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Louis Arraez leads the Padres with 155 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Manny Machado leads the team both in RBI, with 81, and in home runs, with 22.

Nick Pivetta (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 13-4 record, 2.84 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Padres have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Padres’ last three games.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Rockies following a home loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last three games.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine road games.
• The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five road games against the Rockies following a loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Rockies.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Padres’ last 10 night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Padres and Rockies at Coors Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last nine Friday games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Padres and Rockies.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 1st in the league for triples this season (35).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for walks this season (347).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.225).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1032).

Padres vs Rockies Prediction

The Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 head-to-head meetings against the Rockies, but both teams are tied 3-3 wins in their last 6 meetings in Colorado. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings.

In this Padres vs Rockies Prediction, the Padres are coming as -230 road favorites. The Padres have been in a terrible slump lately, but thanks to the Dodgers’ struggles, they are still two games behind the first place of the NL West. San Diego is putting their best pitcher on the mound in Nick Pivetta, who has been elite this season and has given up 2 runs or less in his last four starts. On the flip side, Kyle Freeland has been weaker at home for the Rockies, with a 6.71 home ERA, and in his only start against the Padres this season, he was torched for 5 earned runs in 5 innings pitched. On top of that, San Diego has the best bullpen in baseball, so expect them to dominate this game and cover the runline.