Padres vs Rockies Prediction 9/7/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 7^th at the Coors Field in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 40-102 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the NL West. The Rockies have a 23-51 home record and are 62-76 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-10 home defeat by the Padres, and are 1-4 in their last 5 games. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games, and are playing the Dodgers and the Padres next.

The Rockies have a .242 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 6.00 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 133 hits, also leading the team both in RBI, with 86, and in home runs, with 29. He is also the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average.

Tanner Gordon (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 5-5 record, 6.07 ERA and 1.58 WHIP.

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 77-65 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL West. They have a 34-40 road record, and are 61-75 in over/under. The Padres are coming off a 10-8 road victory over the Rockies, that ended their five-game losing streak. Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games and are playing the Reds and the Rockies next.

The Padres have a .252 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .385 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Louis Arraez leads the Padres with 158 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average. Manny Machado leads the team both in RBI, with 81, and in home runs, with 22.

Dylan Cease (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 6-11 record, 4.81 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.

San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: September 7, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tanner Gordon      Record this season: 5-5      ERA: 6.07
• Home Record: 4-2
• Last 5 against Padres: 0-0

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Padres have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against the Rockies following a win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Padres’ last five games.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday home games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease      Record this season: 6-11      ERA: 4.81
• Road Record: 0-8
• Last 5 against Rockies: 2-2

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 games after playing the previous day.
• The Padres have won five of their last six road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Padres’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Padres and Rockies have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven day games between the Padres and Rockies at Coors Field.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in each of the Rockies’ last two day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• German Marquez has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games.
• Manny Machado has recorded a Double in each of the Padres’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Dylan Cease has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Padres as favorites.
• Luis Campusano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Luis Arraez ranks 4th in the league in Hits (158) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 1st in the league for triples this season (35).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for walks this season (353).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.227).
• The Padres rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1055).

Padres vs Rockies Prediction

The Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 head-to-head meetings against the Rockies, and both teams are tied 4-4 wins in their last 8 meetings in Colorado. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.

In this Padres vs Rockies Prediction, the Padres are coming as -230 road favorites. I don’t trust Cease enough to lay such a big number with the Padres on the road, as Cease has been weaker outside San Diego, with a 5.81 road ERA. He is also coming into this matchup in poor form, with a 5.96 ERA across his last five starts, while Gordon is also struggling lately for the Rockies, with an 8.51 ERA in his last 5 starts. Yesterday’s game had a grand total of 18 runs, and I expect another high-scoring affair between two struggling pitchers and a terrible Rockies bullpen. Take the over 11.5 runs.