Colorado Rockies (3-9) vs. San Diego Padres (10-3)
April 11, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego Padres -205 / Colorado Rockies 170; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Padres vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 11, at PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (3-9, 1-5 Away) lost all four series to start the new season. The Rox lost to the Rays, were swept by the Phillies, and then lost to the Athletics and Brewers at home. At least they managed to salvage the series against Milwaukee with a 7-2 victory last night. Brenton Doyle led the offense with 5 RBI, while Ryan Feltner pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on three hits with seven strikeouts and two walks. Scott Alexander was credited with a win.
This year, the Rockies average 3.00 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .232/.300/.355 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.16 ERA (28th) and 1.57 WHIP (30th). Brenton Doyle leads the Rockies with a .302 batting average, three home runs, and 12 RBI this season.
German Maruqez will take the mound for the Rockies on Friday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in two starts this year with a 2.45 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 11.0 innings of work.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres (10-3, 7-0 Home) opened this season with seven consecutive wins and series sweeps over the Braves and Guardians. The Padres lost the series to the Cubs but responded with a win against the Athletics. In the latest 2-1 win over the A’s, San Diego recorded 12 hits, opposite the Athletics’ two. Randy Vasquez took a win after allowing one run on one hit with one strikeout and three walks in 5.0 innings of work.
This season, the Padres average 4.38 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .286/.348/.413 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.32 ERA (7th) and 1.18 WHIP (10th). Jackson Merrill leads the Padres with a .378 batting average, three home runs, and ten RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Nick Pivetta, who has a 1-1 record in two starts this year with a 2.70 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 10.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Rockies’ last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Padres’ last six games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six night games at Petco Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.198).
- The Padres rank T3rd in the league for hits this season (124).
- The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (128).
- The Rockies rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (40).
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
The Rockies won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including two of the last three. The Padres are one of a few teams in the MLB against whom the Rockies have a positive record recently, which is interesting considering the quality difference between the teams. PIvetta struggled in his last start against the Rockies, posting a 22.63 ERA in 2.2 innings, and although I don’t think he will be bad as much on Friday, I am backing the Rox to score multiple runs off Pivetta. German Marquez started this season very well, but he allowed a .351 BA with seven home runs and 21 RBI in 111 at-bats against the Padres in his career. I am going with Over.
