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Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 6-23-24 Picks

Arizona Diamondbacks (38-38) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (49-26)
June 23, 2024 11:35 am EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -196 / Arizona Diamondbacks +164; Over/Under: +10.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Diamondbacks played the Washington Nationals in their early-week series. Arizona lost 3-1 in the Wednesday game but otherwise took wins 5-0 and 5-2 to take the set. After a 5-4 win over Philly on Friday, in game two the Diamondbacks took a blowout loss 12-1. Starter Tommy Henry coughed up six earned in 3.2 innings before exiting.

In the starter role for Sunday’s game the Diamondbacks are sending out Slade Cecconi. This year Cecconi is 2-5 with a 5.90 ERA and 39 Ks in 50.1 innings over 10 games (nine starts). In his career Cecconi is 2-6 with a 5.35 ERA in 17 games (13 starts).

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over on the Phillies’ side, they took on the San Diego Padres this week. Philadelphia won the first two installments of that set 9-2 and 4-3 before a 5-2 loss Wednesday spoiled the sweep. In Saturday’s matchup the Phillies posted 14 team hits. Zack Wheeler posted a nice 7.0 innings with just one earned on two hits and no walks.

It’ll be Christopher Sanchez in the starting pitcher role for Philly on Sunday. This year Sanchez is 4-3 with a 2.91 ERA in 14 starts. He has 66 Ks in 77.1 innings total. Sanchez is 10-10 with a 3.73 ERA over 55 career games (36 starts).

Phillies vs Diamondbacks Pick Injury Notes

Diamondbacks catcher Gabriel Moreno’s Friday X-rays on his thumb came back negative.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Phillies’ last seven day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
  • Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as favorites.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 home appearances.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 home appearances.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against the Diamondbacks after playing the previous day.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Walker has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Christian Walker has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I’ll stick with the Phillies. Sanchez had a spotty outing June 12 versus the Red Sox with four earned in 4.0 innings during a no-decision, but came back strong in his last outing. Sanchez managed 7.0 innings with one earned for a win versus the Padres in that one. As for Cecconi, he’s coming off a strong outing himself (6.0 clean innings) in a win over the Nationals.

On Saturday the Phillies were great on both sides. The pitching staff held Arizona to just two hits, and every Philly batter got on base at least once. I like Philly to keep rolling Sunday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -196

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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