Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Prediction 7/19/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Nolan McLean for the start here and McLean is 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. Alan Rangel will start for Philadelphia and is 0-2 with a 4.19 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-1 loss at the hands of the Phillies on Saturday to sit at 41-58 this season. fter this series, the Mets will head on the road for a game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Mets Drop 4 Of Last 5

Entering Saturday, Juan Soto has 81 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 51 RBIs. Brett Baty has 66 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 32 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 62 hits with 8 doubles, 9 home runs and 29 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 97 hits with 14 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 55 hits with 7 doubles and 11 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 94 hits with 12 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 37 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mets from Saturday to sit at 55-44 this season. After this series, the Phillies will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in a series at home.

Phils Win 3 Of Last 4

Going into Saturday, Adolis Garcia has 45 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 21 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 90 hits with 10 doubles, 32 home runs and 59 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 102 hits with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 46 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 70 hits with 12 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 21 RBIs. Trea Turner has 92 hits with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 34 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 90 hits with 18 doubles, 20 home runs and 57 RBIs this season.

New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: July 19, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Alan Rangel      Record this season: 0-2      ERA: 4.19
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean      Record this season: 6-6      ERA: 3.52
• Road Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last four day games following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Phillies following a road loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last five games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in five of the Phillies’ last six home games.
• Alan Rangel has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight home games.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.
• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances.
• Juan Soto has recorded two hits in each of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Tyrone Taylor has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.408) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (968).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (968).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.302).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.302).

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m backing the under in this one. I still don’t trust this Mets offense and I think that Rangel is a decent enough option that even he can hold the Mets in check at the plate here. On the flipside, the Phillies could have issues against the Mets’ ace, and even if this is a one-sided game once again, I still think this comes in under the number.