Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Yankees Prediction 7/24/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Will Warren for the start here and Warren is 7-4 with a 4.03 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Jesus Luzardo will start for Philadelphia here and is 9-4 with a 3.43 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their 2-0 win over the Pirates last time out to sit at 57-45 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Yankees Win 7 Of Last 10

Ben Rice has 100 hits with 17 doubles, 30 home runs and 71 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 53 hits with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 94 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 11 home runs and 52 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 77 hits with 13 doubles, 16 home runs and 43 RBIs as well on the year.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 9-5 loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out to sit at 57-45 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a set against the Miami Marlins.

Phillies Drop Back-To-Back Games

Kyle Schwarber has 92 hits with 10 doubles, 33 home runs and 61 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 105 hits with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 47 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 71 hits with 12 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 22 RBIs. Trea Turner has 100 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 40 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 93 hits with 19 doubles, 21 home runs and 60 RBIs this season.

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: July 24, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo      Record this season: 9-4      ERA: 3.43
• Home Record: 3-4
• Last 5 against Yankees: 0-3

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Friday night games as road underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren      Record this season: 7-4      ERA: 4.00
• Road Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Phillies.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Yankees’ last seven games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last six night games between the Yankees and Phillies.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games as home favorites.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight games as underdogs.
• Will Warren has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Austin Wells has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.590) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1004).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1004).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.38).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.38).

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. Jesus Luzardo’s been money in a lot of his recent outings and without Aaron Judge, the Yankees’ lineup just has a lack of punch especially against left-handed pitching. Will Warren’s shown some serious signs of regression over the last month or so and this Yankee lineup has been far stronger against right-handed pitching this season. I’ll back Philadelphia in this one.