Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-30-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 30th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Phillies Lose Another One 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-41 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Philadelphia lost the first game in this series and allowed 14 runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. Philadelphia is just 3-8 in their last 11 games, but they continue to lead the NL East by a wide margin. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 516 runs with a .256 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .282 with 24 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. 

Yankees Looking for Fourth Straight Win 

The New York Yankees are 63-45 this year and they have won three games in a row. New York won game one in this series by a score of 14-4 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Red Sox, lost both games against the Mets, and split four games with the Rays. New York is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 553 runs with a .251 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .315 with 39 home runs and 99 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has scored at least seven runs in four straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 130.2 innings pitched this year. Nola has allowed one earned run in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this season. Cole has allowed one earned run in three of his last five starts, but did allow six earned runs against the Mets last time out. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Phillies

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four night games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Yankees and Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Yankees.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 appearances at Citizens Bank Park against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as underdogs.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with the Yankees as road underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Yankees Prediction 

New York was able to run away with game one in this series in blowout fashion and they will look to take another game here. The Yankees are 36-22 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 38-19 at home. Philadelphia continues to struggle over the last couple of weeks, but the Braves and Mets have not been able to make up much ground. Philly will start Nola in this game, who has been pretty good in his last five starts. The Yankees are going with Cole, who has had mixed results and has either been really good or really bad. These two teams are having very good seasons, but the Phillies struggles are definitely a concern for me here. My Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Yankees prediction is for the Yankees to win.