Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9-10-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 10th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 86-58 this season and they have lost two of their last three games. Philadelphia won game one in this series by a score of 2-1 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Phillies split four games with the Marlins, won both games against the Blue Jays, and won three out of four against the Braves. Philadelphia is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 702 runs with a .259 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .285 with 26 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-73 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Tampa Bay dropped game one in this series and only managed to score one run. Prior to this series, the Rays won two out of three against the Orioles, split four games with the Twins, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Tampa Bay is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Rays’ offense has scored 555 runs with a .231 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .281 with 14 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 12-6 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 133.1 innings pitched this year. Suarez has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Taj Bradley, who is 6-10 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this season. Bradley has allowed at least four earned runs in three straight starts. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Rays

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have lost each of their last six games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against American League opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine night games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last four night games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his eight previous home appearances against the Rays.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against AL East opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one total base in 20 of his last 21 home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two road games against the Phillies.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Rays as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Rays’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rays’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

The Phillies blew a late lead in game one of this series, but they were able to walk it off in the bottom of the ninth for the win. Philadelphia is 48-25 at home this year, while Tampa Bay is just 34-35 on the road. The Rays continue to struggle to score runs, while the pitching staff has been above average this year. TB is starting Taj Bradley, who has been awful over the last few weeks, so I am rolling with the Phillies to win by at least two runs here.