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Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9-9-24 MLB Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (71-72) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (85-58)
September 9, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -196 / Tampa Bay Rays +164; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction for this MLB game on Monday,  September 9th, at Citizens Bank Park.

Phillies Struggled on Sunday

The Phillies really struggled on Sunday, and they ended up losing 10-1. They gave up all ten runs in the first three innings and that led to the defeat. Seth Johnson was awful, going 2.1 innings, giving up eight hits and nine runs. The Phillies are averaging 4.92 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.04 runs per game.


The Phillies’ offense is ranked 5th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 6th. Kyle Schwarber has hit 33 home runs and driven in 93 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Cristopher Sanchez, who sits with a 10-9 record and an ERA of 3.45. In his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays, he went seven innings, giving up six hits and two runs. 

Why the Rays Will Beat the Phillies

  • The Phillies have won eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Rays have lost six of their last seven night games following a road win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight night games following a road win.

Rays Pitching Dominated

The Rays pitching really dominated on Sunday, giving up zero runs, and that was enough for the victory against the Orioles. Zack Littell went five innings, giving up three hits and zero runs. Johnny DeLuca hit a home run and drove in two RBIs. The Rays are averaging 3.87 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.26 runs per game. The offense is ranked 28th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 13th. Jose Siri has hit 17 home runs and driven in 43 RBIs. In this game, if they want to find success, they are going to need the offense to be good early. 

Why the Rays Will Beat the Phillies

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last eight Monday night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have won nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The Rays are going to struggle here. The Rays’ offense is averaging only 3.87 runs per game, and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Sanchez has been good, and he sits with an ERA of 3.45. In his last start, he gave up two runs, and he’s going into lockdown here. Look for this game to be a good old-fashioned pitcher’s duel, and this game is going to stay under the total. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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