Philadelphia Phillies vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 8/9/26 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Shane Bieber for the start and Bieber is 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. Jesus Luzardo will start here for the Phillies and is 10-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 164 strikeouts this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their 7-5 win over the Phillies on Saturday to sit at 56-62 this season. After this set, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Blue Jays Pick Up Back-To-Back Wins

Andres Gimenez has 80 hits with 17 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 41 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 125 hits with 27 doubles, 9 home runs and 38 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 95 hits with 14 doubles, 24 home runs, 70 RBIs and a team-high 144 strikeouts while George Springer also has 14 doubles, 12 homers and 36 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 104 hits with 18 doubles, 6 home runs and 44 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 61 hits with 14 doubles, 8 home runs and 32 RBIs.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to Toronto on Saturday to sit at 62-56 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Phillies Looking To Avoid Sweep

Kyle Schwarber has 99 hits with 12 doubles, 33 home runs and 64 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 114 hits with 17 doubles, 16 home runs and 51 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 82 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 2 home runs and 29 RBIs. Trea Turner has 117 hits with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 45 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 104 hits with 22 doubles, 24 home runs and 68 RBIs this season.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: August 9, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo      Record this season: 10-5      ERA: 3.36
• Home Record: 4-5
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven Sunday games.
• The Phillies have won each of their last four games after going to extra innings.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a home loss.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games as road underdogs.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games as road underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Bieber      Record this season: 3-2      ERA: 5.11
• Road Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won each of their last five games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as road underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Blue Jays’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight home games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against the Blue Jays.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Arraez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (143) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents.
• Shane Bieber has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Shane Bieber has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 10 previous Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 Sunday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ernie Clement ranks T7th in the league in Hits (127) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1153).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (7).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (443).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m backing the Blue Jays here. There’s no denying that Luzardo is the better starting option in this game, but the Phils have been finding new and creative ways to fall short all series long and I honestly expect no different in this game. Toronto is starting to come alive and in a wide open AL Wild Card race, this could be a massive series for them. I’ll back the Blue Jays for the sweep here.