Washington Nationals (20-23) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (32-14)
May 19, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -263 / Washington Nationals +218; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals have lost 4 straight games and play the Minnesota Twins after this series. The Washington Nationals have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Washington Nationals have lost 6 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 45 hits and 21 RBI, while Luis Garcia Jr. and Joey Meneses have combined for 70 hits and 42 RBI.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 33-14 on the season and play the Texas Rangers after this. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 9 straight games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 13 of their last 15 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 57 hits and 37 RBI, while Trea Turner and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 89 hits and 25 RBI.
Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup
Trevor Williams gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 4-0 with a 1.94 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. Williams has allowed 11 hits and 1 earned run in his last 15 innings. The Nationals are 7-1 this season when Williams pitches this season. Williams is 2-4 with a 5.20 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Nola has allowed 17 hits and 6 runs in his last 18.2 innings. The Phillies are 7-1 in Nola’s last 8 starts. Nola is 8-8 with a 3.75 ERA and 186 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last five Sunday day games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have won seven of their last nine games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday day games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Nationals following a win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five Sunday day games at Citizens Bank Park.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Eddie Rosario has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last five day games.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
- Trevor Williams has recorded four or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in three of the Nationals’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine Sunday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Trevor Williams has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction
The Philadelphia Phillies continue to flex their muscle as one of the best teams in baseball, and they should be favored at home with Nola on the mound. However, the Washington Nationals continue to tread water and Trevor Williams has been highly impressive this season with an ERA under 2 on the season. Williams has allowed 1 earned run in his last 15 innings. We’re getting more than two times our money with Williams on the mound. I’ll take it. Give me the Nationals based on the value of the big plus money.
