Phillies vs Braves Prediction 4/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 17th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 8-10 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 13-7, 4-10, and 2-11. In game three, Philadelphia led 1-0 in the first inning, but they allowed the next 11 runs for the blowout loss. The Phillies recorded five hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Turner and Harper, who both had one RBI in the game. Luzardo allowed 12 hits and eight earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Backhus and Moore both allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Giants. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.92 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .276 opponent batting average, while they have scored 72 runs with a .229 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with six home runs and 12 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added four home runs and 11 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA and a 1.91 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 12-7 this year after they won two out of three against the Marlins by scores of 4-10, 6-5, and 6-3. In game three, Atlanta scored the first six runs in the game, but they allowed three in the eighth to lose the shutout. The Braves recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Olson, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Elder allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save. Prior to that series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Angels. 

This season, Atlanta has a 2.93 ERA with a 1.10 WHIP and a .215 opponent batting average, while they have scored 106 runs with a .276 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Drake Baldwin has led the Braves with five home runs and 19 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added five home runs and 14 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 0-1 with a 3.14 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against the Braves following a loss.
• The Braves have lost each of their last six games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 15 of their last 16 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home night games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the last 12 night games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Taijuan Walker has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his five previous home appearances against the Braves.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (6) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 night games.
• Drake Baldwin ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (25) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.276).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (47).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (180).
• The Braves rank T1st in the league for RBIs this season (103).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 6+ in all three of those victories. The Braves are 4-3 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 5-7 at home. Philadelphia has dropped three of their last four and they allowed 28 runs in their last series. The Phillies are starting Walker, who has allowed 12 earned runs and 21 hits over 14.2 innings, while Perez has allowed five earned runs and nine hits over 14.1 innings for the Braves. Take Atlanta on the road here.