Phillies vs Braves Prediction 8/29/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 29th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 77-57 this year after they won game one by a score of 19-4 on Thursday night. Philadelphia trailed 3-0 in the first inning, but they scored 19 of the last 20 runs for the easy win. The Phillies recorded 20 hits in the game and they were led by Schwarber, who went 4-6 with four home runs and nine RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Nola, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Robert and Trivino closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. Philadelphia has lost three of their last four games, but they are still first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 644 runs with a .258 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 49 home runs and 119 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 10-6 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 126.0 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 61-73 this season after they lost game one in blowout fashion on Thursday night. Atlanta got off to a great start in the first inning, but scored just once in the final eight innings in the loss. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Harris II, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Quantrill, who allowed nine hits and nine earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Cox allowed seven earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Marlins, but did lose two out of three against the Mets before that. Atlanta has won three of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 598 runs with a .244 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 21 home runs and 75 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 5-9 with a 6.12 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Braves

• The Phillies have won each of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have lost five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Braves’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine night games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as favorites against the Braves.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (165) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Phillies.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 games as road underdogs.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as underdogs against the Phillies.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1230).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (486).
• The Braves rank 24th in the league for steals this season (68).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction 

Philadelphia exploded at the plate on Thursday night to get a badly needed win, as they extended their lead to five games in the East. The Phillies are 43-22 at home this year, while the Braves are 28-40 on the road. Atlanta has played in three straight very high scoring games and they are starting Elder, who has allowed 2, 8, 2, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts. The Phillies are going with Suarez, who has allowed two earned runs and seven hits in his last 13.2 innings. Take the Phillies -1.5 here, as I don’t trust Elder at all.