Phillies vs Braves Prediction 9/4/26 MLB Picks Today

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Braves Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Braves Pick.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 83-57 on the year and play the Rays and Phillies next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .249 on the season and have a .312 OBP and a .413 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 150 hits and 80 RBI, while Matt Olson and Ozzie Albies have combined for 274 hits and 148 RBI.

Chris Sale gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 13-9 with a 2.06 ERA and 177 strikeouts this season. Sale is 4-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 70 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 79-61 on the year and play the Braves and Astros next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .243 on the season, with a .313 OBP and a .400 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 135 hits and 80 RBI, while Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh have combined for 261 hits and 109 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 16-4 with a 2.52 ERA and 202 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 0-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have lost seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games as home favorites against NL opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games against the Braves following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday home games against NL opponents.
• The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Braves and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last four games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two home games.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Arraez ranks T1st in the league in Hits (166) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three night games.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 night games.
• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Matt Olson ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1374).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
• The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (407).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

This is a hell of a pitching matchup and should be a hell of a series. The Phillies should have the edge at home with Sanchez on the mound, but the value is with the Braves and the slightly better price. Sale has also been sharper through 144 innings with a 2.06 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. You’re not going to get Sale at this price very often, folks. The Braves have also had success against the Phillies this season. Give me the Braves on the road with their ace on the hill.