Phillies vs Braves Prediction 4/25/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, April 25^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 19-8 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 9-4 home record and are coming off a 5-3 home win against the Phillies. Their previous three games were a 7-2 win, an 8-6 win and a 4-11 loss on the road against the Nationals.

The Braves have a .274 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .453 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.11 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .326 batting average. Drake Baldwin leads the team in RBI with 23, and Matt Olson adds a team‑high 7 home runs.

Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-1 record, 1.50 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 8-18 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 3-8 away record and are coming off a 3-5 road loss against the Braves. They dropped their previous three games on the road to the Cubs by scores of 7-8, 2-7, and 4-7.

The Phillies have a .221 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .365 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 5.14 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 15, also adding a team‑high 8 home runs.

Zack Wheeler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies and last season he had a 10-5 record, 2.71 ERA and 0.94 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 1.50
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-2

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have won 11 of their last 12 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 14 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-2

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won eight of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in five of their last six games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Phillies and Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven Saturday games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Drake Baldwin ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (34) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two road games against NL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 28 appearances in night games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last five Saturday appearances in night games.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (155).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (258).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.287).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (267).

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The Braves have won their last five meetings against the Phillies, and are 2-1 in their last three meetings in Atlanta. Under is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Phillies vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -135 home favorites. This is a matchup between the best team currently in baseball and a struggling Phillies team that cannot catch a break and is 2-14 in its last 16 games. Wheeler will make his season debut and will look to follow up to a dominating 2025 campaign, but he has to face the league’s best offense and their red-hot Elder on the mound. Elder has only two earned runs in three home starts, while Wheeler was torched by the Braves last season with 11 earned runs in two starts. Take the Braves to keep rolling in this one.