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Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction 4/4/25 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (8-0) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (5-1)
April 4, 2025 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies 124 / LA Dodgers -148; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Dodgers Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 8-0 on the year and play the Nationals, Cubs, and Rockies next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .233 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .490 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 1.97 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 10 hits and 3 RBI, while Tommy Edman and Will Smith have combined for 18 hits and 12 RBI.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. This will be Yamamoto’s first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-1 on the year and play the Braves, Cardinals, and Giants next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .305 on the season, have a .381 OBP, and a .500 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 2.83 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. Edmundo Sosa leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 9 hits and 5 RBI while Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm have combined for 15 hits and 10 RBI.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. Luzardo is 0-0 with a 3.48 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Phillies have won each of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Phillies following a win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Friday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have led after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 night games at Citizens Bank Park against NL West opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last nine games.
  • The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction

The Dodgers are going to be favored for obvious reasons, as they’re undefeated and are rolling with confidence. The Dodgers keep coming up with clutch hit after clutch hit, and Yamamoto is off to a strong start. With that said, the value is with the Phillies and the plus money.

The Phillies have the offense to give the Dodgers problems, and Luzardo has above-average stuff with the ability to miss bats. Luzardo just struck out 11 in five innings in his season debut against the Nationals. This will also be the Dodger’s first true road game of the season, and I’m sure that Philly crowd will try to make Yamamoto uncomfortable. This should be a hell of a series and a potential playoff preview down the line. I want the more favorable price in my pocket. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +124

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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