Phillies vs Guardians Prediction 5/24/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 24th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 26-26 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 0-1 and 3-0. In game two, Philadelphia scored two runs in the fourth and one in the sixth, which was enough for the win. The Phillies recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Stott, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Wheeler allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Duran got the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Reds, but did sweep the Pirates in three games before that. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while they have scored 212 runs with a .230 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 20 home runs and 36 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 12 home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Andrew Painter, who is 1-4 with a 5.77 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 31-23 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-0 last night. Cleveland found almost no success at the plate in the game for the shutout loss. The Guardians recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Hoskins, who went 1-3. Cecconi allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Pallette pitched a scoreless eighth. Prior to this series, Cleveland swept the Tigers in four games and won two out of three against the Reds. 

This season, Cleveland has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 229 runs with a .227 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 30 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added eight home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Parker Messick, who is 5-1 with a 2.45 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 58.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Guardians have lost each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The underdogs have won eight of the Guardians’ last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games at Citizens Bank Park following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Guardians and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Guardians’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 12 games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Guardians as road favorites.

Phillies vs Guardians Prediction 

Cleveland had their winning streak snapped on Saturday night in game two, but they have allowed a total of six runs in their last four games. The Guardians are 16-13 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 14-15 at home. Philadelphia has lost three of their last four games, but they have allowed just one run in their last two. The Phillies are starting Painter, who has allowed 2, 1, 8, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last five outings, while Messick has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the under here, as Messick has been very good, but the Guardians offense is low scoring.