Phillies vs Marlins Prediction 7/27/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, July 27^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 52-54 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 31-23 home record and are coming off a 3-5 home loss against the Padres. They will face the Mets and the Braves next.

The Miami Marlins have a .250 batting average this season, .325 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .328 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 60, while Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 14 home runs.

Tyler Phillips (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Miami Marlins, and he has a 2-5 record, 3.52 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 57-49 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 29-22 away record and are coming off an 11-4 home win against the Yankees. They will face the Orioles and the Nationals next.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .236 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 62, adding a team-high 33 home runs.

Zack Wheeler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 10-2 record, 2.16 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: July 27, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tyler Phillips      Record this season: 2-5      ERA: 3.52
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Wheeler      Record this season: 10-2      ERA: 2.16
• Road Record: 6-1
• Last 5 against Marlins: 4-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 games.
• The Phillies have won each of their last 11 Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last nine Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against the Marlins.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last seven night games at LoanDepot Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six road games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (133) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (24).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

The Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Marlins and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Miami.

In this Phillies vs Marlins Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -175 road favorites. The Marlins have been the worst team in baseball lately, having lost their last 12 games and have to go up against Zack Wheeler today, who has just one earned run in his two starts combined against the Marlins this season. He has been even better on the road this season with a 6-1 record and 1.73 ERA, while Tyler Phillips has been torched in his only start against the Phillies this season with 8 earned runs in4 innings pitched. Miami has the third-worst bullpen in baseball after the break and a struggling offense, so take the Phillies to win this one on the road.