Phillies vs Marlins Prediction 8/18/26 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 64-62 on the year and play the Red Sox and Nationals next. The Miami Marlins are batting .251 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and have a .404 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 152 hits and 54 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Javier Sanoja have combined for 218 hits and 93 RBI.

Cade Gibson gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-0 with a 5.61 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Gibson is 0-for-0 with an 8.31 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-58 on the year and play the Mariners and Cardinals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .240 on the season, with a .311 OBP and a .401 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 123 hits and 48 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 234 hits and 126 RBI.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 10-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 137 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 14-4 with a 2.80 ERA and 204 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight night games against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in three of their last four games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against the Marlins at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.
• The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last six home games has gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Esteury Ruiz has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against the Phillies.
• Brian Navarreto has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances against the Phillies.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (152) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1240).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (130).

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

The Phillies should be favored with Wheeler on the mound as he’s having a fine season and has owned the Marlins in his career. Gibson hasn’t been good through 33.2 innings. However, we’re getting more than two times our money with a Marlins team that’s fighting for their playoff lives. This should also be a pissed-off team after getting robbed yesterday by the umpires. This is a scrappy and desperate Marlins team. I’ll take a shot with them at this price.