Phillies vs Mets Prediction 6/22/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out David Peterson for the start here and Peterson is 5-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Phillies, Peterson is 0-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Jesus Luzardo will get the start for the Phillies here and is 6-3 with a 4.41 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Luzardo is 3-1 with a 1.47 ERA and 32 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on an 11-4 win over the Phillies from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 46-31 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Atlanta Braves.

Mets Snap Seven-Game Losing Skid

Pete Alonso has 82 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs and a .291 batting average while Juan Soto has 66 hits with 14 doubles, 14 home runs and 37 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 78 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 64 hits with 13 doubles and 13 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Sunday night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.564) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to the Mets on Saturday to drop to 46-31 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.

Phillies Looking For Another Series Win

Nick Castellanos has 78 hits with 18 doubles including 7 home runs and 36 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 66 hits with a team-high 23 home runs and 54 RBIs but also has a team-high 86 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 90 hits with a team-high 19 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 7 doubles, 2 triples, 5 homers and 31 RBIs while Stott also has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Mets following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three home games against the Mets.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL opponents.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (92) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between the Mets and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.

Phillies vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. New York got the win on Saturday to get back on track, but the thing here is that even though Peterson’s been pitching well and Luzardo has been getting cranked as of late. Luzardo I think is the more trustworthy option given his history against the Mets. The fact that I trust the Phillies’ bats to be able to back him up here. The Mets have struggled mightily against lefties as of late, and I think they struggle to drum up enough run support for Peterson here. Give me the Phillies.