Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 6/25/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, June 25^th in the fourth game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Washington Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals have a 41-40 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 17-24 home record and are coming off a 4-5 home defeat against the Phillies. They will face the Orioles and the Red Sox next.

The Nationals have a .247 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .425 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.69 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 57. James Wood adds a team-high 20 home runs.

Cade Cavalli (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 4-4 record, 4.07 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 44-36 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 21-17 road record and are coming off a 5-4 road win against the Nationals. They will face the Mets and the Pirates next.

The Phillies have a .234 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .321 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team-high 29 home runs.

Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 9-3 record, 1.80 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: June 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Cavalli      Record this season: 4-4      ERA: 4.07
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last six road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Nationals following a win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez      Record this season: 9-3      ERA: 1.80
• Road Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Nationals: 2-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against the Phillies at Nationals Park following a home loss.
• The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Phillies’ last five games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Nationals’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Phillies’ last 10 games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Cade Cavalli’s last four appearances as a starter.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Cade Cavalli has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last four home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jorbit Vivas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (31) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryson Stott has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in each of the Phillies’ last six games as road favorites against the Nationals.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (433).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (411).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (760).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (220).

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

The Phillies are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Nationals and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Washington.

In this Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -180 road favorites. I like the Phillies in this one with Cristopher Sanchez on the mound, who has been elite this season and a far better option than Cade Cavalli. The Phillies have been playing good baseball and are 4-1 in their last 5 games, they have a better bullpen and are the second-best team against right-handed pitching in the last 10 days. Take the Phillies to win.