Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 29th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 15-13 this season after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 0-4, 10-4, and 3-1. In their game three win, Philadelphia tied the game at one in the third inning, but didn’t score again until the 10th, where they got the win. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Turner, who had two RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Nola, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings, while Alvarado got the win and Romano picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Phillies lost all three against the Mets, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Philadelphia has lost five of their last seven games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 124 runs with a .249 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with seven home runs and 18 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added five home runs and 16 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 37.1 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 13-16 this year after they split four games with the Mets by scores of 5-4, 0-2, 8-7, and 5-19. In their game four loss, the Nationals allowed the first 15 runs in the game, but did score five in the eighth to avoid the shutout. Washington recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Call, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the loss. The Nationals started Williams, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Henry, Salazar, and Rosario all allowed at least four earned runs. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Rockies. Washington has alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.12 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 123 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with nine home runs and 20 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added five home runs and 20 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 2-3 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals

• The Phillies have won 19 of their last 20 games at Citizens Bank Park following an extra innings win.
• The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games after going to extra innings.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 road night games.

Why the Nationals will beat the Phillies

• The Nationals have won each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in each of his three previous home appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 13 appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games against the Phillies.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Phillies.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded nine or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Phillies.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington comes into this matchup looking to bounce back from that blowout loss on Monday afternoon, but they are just 4-9 on the road this year. Philadelphia is 9-4 at home and they are coming off of a great series win over the Cubs. The Phillies are starting Wheeler, who has allowed two earned runs in each of his last two starts. The Nationals are starting Gore, who has allowed two earned runs in three of his last four starts. Both of these pitchers have been solid so far this season and the Phillies are struggling at the plate right now, so I like the under here.