Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 13-17 on the year and play the Reds, Guardians, and Cardinals next. The Washington Nationals are batting .242 on the season, have a .307 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 5.19 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Keibert Ruiz leads the Washington Nationals with 30 hits and 13 RBI, while James Wood and Nathaniel Lowe have combined for 56 hits and 44 RBI.

Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 2-0 with a 3.19 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Irvin is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 16-13 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Rays, and Guardians next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .249 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .378 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 31 hits and 11 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryson Stott have combined for 57 hits and 29 RBI.

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 2-1 with a 3.42 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 2-2 with a 3.80 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won each of their last nine Wednesday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five Wednesday night games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five home games against the Nationals.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last three games against the Phillies.
• CJ Abrams has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Nationals as road underdogs.
• CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Phillies.
• James Wood ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

The Phillies are the better team at home with an all-star caliber pitcher in Sanchez, so it’s fair they’re going to be favored. However, the Phillies have had some stinkers these last couple of weeks, and they needed a rally to win last night.

The Nationals are competing, and Irvin has been one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball this season. In his last 31.2 innings, Irvin has allowed 22 hits and 11 runs while striking out 29. Throw in a 1.01 WHIP on the season, and Irvin has easily been a top-30 starter in MLB this season. You’re getting almost two times your money. You can do a lot worse than taking a shot with the Nationals on Wednesday night.