Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 5/1/25 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies meet Thursday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 13-18 on the year and play the Reds, Guardians, and Cardinals next. The Washington Nationals are batting .240 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 5.27 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Keibert Ruiz leads the Washington Nationals with 31 hits and 13 RBI, while James Wood and Nathaniel Lowe have combined for 57 hits and 45 RBI.

Brad Lord gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Lord’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-13 on the year and play the Diamondbacks, Rays, and Guardians next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .251 on the season, have a .336 OBP, and a .385 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 31 hits and 11 RBI, while Nick Castellanos and Bryson Stott have combined for 60 hits and 31 RBI.

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 1-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Walker is 2-1 with a 3.76 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have won each of their last nine Thursday games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last three games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games against NL East opponents following a home win.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in nine of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last nine home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games against the Phillies.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
• Jacob Young has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Phillies.
• James Wood ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals’ pitching staff has been getting rocked over the last week, and I’m not a fan of bullpen games. Lord has been hit or miss this season, as he’s allowed 21 hits and nine earned runs in 17.1 innings, and he has a 1.73 WHIP. Lord has lost five of the last six games he’s pitched.

The Phillies have the offense to take advantage of subpar pitching, and they’re enjoying their best week of the season. Walker has also been on a heater, allowing 21 hits and seven earned runs in 22.2 innings while striking out 20. In 47 at-bats against the current Nationals, Walker is allowing a .170 batting average and .264 on-base percentage, with nine strikeouts. Give me the Phillies and the somewhat reasonable price.