Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 8/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 23rd at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 74-54 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Philadelphia led 4-3 in the seventh inning, but they allowed two runs in the ninth for the rough loss. The Phillies recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stott, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Philadelphia started Walker, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Duran blew the save and picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won all three against the Mariners and split four games with the Nationals. Philadelphia has won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 608 runs with a .258 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 45 home runs and 109 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 1-7 with a 6.92 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 53-75 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Washington led 3-0 in the first inning, but they trailed 4-3 late in the game, before rallying in the ninth for the win. The Nationals recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Adams, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Washington started Cavalli, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Poulin picked up the win. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Mets and split four games with the Phillies. Washington has won three games in a row and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 551 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 16 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-13 with a 5.83 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 129.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals

• The Phillies have won each of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last six Saturday games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Nationals following a home loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Citizens Bank Park following a road win.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the Nationals will beat the Phillies

• The Nationals have won four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Nationals’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last nine Saturday games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six Saturday night games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three night games.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded two or more hits in each of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 13 Saturday appearances in night games at Citizens Bank Park.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Phillies.
• Paul DeJong has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Phillies.

Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington was able to get their third straight win on Friday night to start this series and they have scored 19 runs in their last three games. The Nationals are 27-36 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 40-22 at home. Philadelphia was red hot coming into this series, but they are starting Nola, who has not been good this year. Washington is starting Parker, who has allowed 5, 5, 4, and 8 earned runs in his last four outings. Take the over here.