Phillies vs Orioles Prediction Prediction 8/1/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 1^st in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 54-56 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 30-27 home record and are coming off a 6-4 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Angels and the Rangers next.

The Baltimore Orioles have a .237 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Pete Alonso is the team’s best hitter with a .252 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 69 and adding a team-high 23 home runs.

Shane Baz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Baltimore Orioles, and he has a 4-9 record, 3.98 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 57-53 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 29-26 away record and are coming off a 4-6 road loss against the Orioles. They will face the Nationals and the Blue Jays next.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .236 batting average this season, .303 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .277 batting average. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI with 65, while Kyle Schwarber adds a team-high 33 home runs.

Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 13-4 record, 2.73 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: August 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz      Record this season: 4-9      ERA: 3.98
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-1

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Orioles have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez      Record this season: 13-4      ERA: 2.73
• Road Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Orioles: 0-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven Saturday road games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Saturday road games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 home games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Phillies’ last eight night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games as home underdogs.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Phillies.
• Taylor Ward ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.384) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 games as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Cristopher Sanchez ranks T1st in the league for Wins (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (429).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1010).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1070).

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Phillies and have won their last three meetings in Baltimore.

In this Phillies vs Orioles Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -140 road favorites. I like the Orioles as home dogs in this spot against a struggling Phillies team that has won only once in its last nine games. Sanchez has given up 20 runs across his last four road starts and he has been far weaker on the road this season. On the flip side, Baz has been in very good form for the Orioles, who also have one of the best bullpens in baseball after the break and are averaging 6.5 runs per game against lefties in their last 10 games. Take the Orioles for plus money in this one.