Phillies vs Rangers Prediction 3/28/26 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Rangers Pick.

Texas Rangers Betting Preview

The Texas Rangers are 0-1 on the year and play the Orioles and Reds next. The Texas Rangers are batting .229 on the season, have a .250 OBP, and a .343 slugging percentage. The Texas Rangers pitching staff has a 5.63 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Jake Burger leads the Texas Rangers with 3 hits and 2 RBI, while Corey Seager and Kyle Higashioka have combined for 3 hits and 0 RBI.

Jacob deGrom gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he was 12-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 185 strikeouts last season. deGrom is 9-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 151 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-0 on the year and play the Nationals and Rockies next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .294 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .529 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 2 hits and 0 RBI while Trea Turner and Justin Crawford have combined for 4 hits and 0 RBI.

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he was 5-10 with a 6.01 ERA and 97 strikeouts last season. This will be Nola’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against the Rangers.
• The Rangers have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Rangers.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have lost the first inning in six of their last seven road games.

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The Rangers have won each of their last six Saturday day games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five day games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last six Saturday road games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven home games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Rangers’ last 13 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games against American League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games against AL West opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
• Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against AL West opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranked 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) last season.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Josh Jung has recorded a Double in four of the Rangers’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 17 appearances against NL opponents.
• Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances after not playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies ranked 2nd in the league for hits last season (1426).
• The Phillies ranked 2nd in the league for batting average last season (.258).
• The Rangers ranked 1st in the league for ERA last season (3.47).
• The Rangers ranked 1st in the league for runs allowed last season (605).

Phillies vs Rangers Prediction

The Phillies are the better team and should have the edge at home. Nola is also a better pitcher than what he showed last season, but it’s fair to say it was a rough year and we need to see evidence he’s figured things out. deGrom has issues staying healthy, but he’s still an elite arm when he does pitch, and you’re not going to get him at cheap prices or plus money often. deGrom also has owned the Phillies throughout his career. The value is with the Rangers and deGrom on the mound, as he can suck the life out of a stadium when he’s on. Give me the Rangers.