Phillies vs Reds Prediction 7/6/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Reds Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 46-43 on the year and play the Marlins and Rockies next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .248 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 96 hits and 60 RBI, while TJ Friedl and Spencer Steer have combined for 168 hits and 68 RBI.

Chase Burns gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 0-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. This will be Burns’ first career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-37 on the year and play the Giants and Padres next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .256 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 108 hits and 39 RBI while Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos have combined for 185 hits and 90 RBI.

Zack Wheeler gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-3 with a 2.27 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. Wheeler is 2-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have lost five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Reds following a win.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded nine strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances against former teams.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (108) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in five of the Reds’ last nine road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 12 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Trevino has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Phillies vs Reds Prediction

Burns hasn’t been good in 5.1 MLB innings, allowing 11 hits and eight earned runs. I doubt things are going to change on the road against this stacked Phillies lineup. Wheeler is an all-star this season with a 2.27 ERA and 0.91 WHIP, and he’s allowed two earned runs in his last 31 innings. In 57 home innings, Wheeler has a 2.05 ERA and .181 allowed batting average. The Phillies have a clear edge on the mound. Give me the Phillies, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.