Phillies vs Reds Prediction 7/8/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Reds Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, July 8^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Cincinnati Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds have a 41‑49 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 20‑25 home record and are coming off a 1‑4 home loss against the Phillies. They will face the Cubs and the Rockies next.

The Cincinnati Reds have a .227 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 61, adding a team‑high 17 home runs.

Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, and he has a 10‑1 record, 2.40 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 51‑41 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 26‑20 away record and are coming off a 4‑1 road win against the Reds. They will face the Tigers and the Mets next.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .238 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI with 57, while Kyle Schwarber adds a team‑high 31 home runs.

The Phillies have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: July 8, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns      Record this season: 10-1      ERA: 2.40
• Home Record: 5-1
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last eight Wednesday games at Great American Ball Park.
• The Reds have won seven of their last eight home games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Phillies following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games following a road win.
• The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last five home games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four games against National League opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Phillies.
• Chase Burns ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (10) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (684).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (895).
• The Phillies rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).

Phillies vs Reds Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.

In this Phillies vs Reds Prediction, the Reds are coming as -135 home favorites. I like the Reds in a bounce-back spot at home with their best pitcher on the mound in Chase Burns. Burns has been outstanding this season with a 2.40 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, having the 5^th-best ERA in baseball and has been even better at home. The Phillies have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game, so they might be going for a bullpen game. I like the Reds in this one to get the job done at home.