Phillies vs Royals Prediction 9/13/25 MLB Picks Today

The Kansas City Royals and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Royals Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Royals Pick.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 74-74 on the year and play the Mariners, Blue Jays, and Angels next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .243 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .388 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 164 hits and 78 RBI, while Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 305 hits and 171 RBI.

Ryan Bergert gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. This will be Bergert’s second career game against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 88-60 on the year and play the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, and Marlins next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .261 on the season, have a .331 OBP, and a .431 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 179 hits and 69 RBI while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 264 hits and 189 RBI.

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 4-8 with a 4.03 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Walker is 1-2 with a 6.12 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Kansas City Royals @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: September 13, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker      Record this season: 4-8      ERA: 4.03
• Home Record: 2-4
• Last 5 against Royals: 1-2

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have lost each of their last eight Saturday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games at Citizens Bank Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Bergert      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 3.48
• Road Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Phillies: 0-0

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Phillies have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Royals have won nine of their last 13 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The Royals have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Royals and Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Royals’ last seven night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryson Stott has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two home games against the Royals.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded three or more strikeouts in 29 of his 31 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in five of the Phillies’ last six games against the Royals.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents .

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in four of the Royals’ last six road games against NL opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Royals as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Phillies vs Royals Prediction

The Royals are in a funk offensively and the losses are starting to get out of control. While Bergert has been respectable this season, he’s allowed 12 hits and 9 runs in his last 8.1 innings. Not getting the warm and fuzzies from the Royals right now. Walker isn’t lighting the world on fire, and he has a 4.25 ERA at home, but the Phillies keep piling up the wins, and you can count on their offense to show up nightly. The Phillies are the more trustworthy team at home. Give me the Phillies.