Phillies vs Yankees Prediction 7/26/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Yankees (59-45) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (56-49)
July 26, 2026 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -175 / NY Yankees 144; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Yankees and Philadelphia Phillies meet Sunday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Yankees Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Yankees Pick.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 59-45 on the year and play the Cubs and White Sox next. The New York Yankees are batting .234 on the season and have a .313 OBP and a .418 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice leads the New York Yankees with 100 hits and 71 RBI, while Cody Bellinger and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 174 hits and 96 RBI.
Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 7-4 with a 4.00 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. Warren is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 56-49 on the year and play the Marlins and Orioles next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .235 on the season, with a .301 OBP and a .399 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 105 hits and 47 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 196 hits and 101 RBI.
Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-4 with a 2.65 ERA and 151 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won 18 of their last 23 games following a loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites following a home loss.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games as home favorites.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the last eight night games between the Yankees and Phillies.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Yankees’ last six road games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances.
- Cristopher Sanchez ranks T1st in the league for Wins (12) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Austin Wells has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against NL East opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.577) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.301).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.301).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.33).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.33).
Phillies vs Yankees Prediction
The Yankees and the plus money is worth a look given the talent on the team, but there’s a gap on the mound. Warren has a 4.00 ERA, and he’s allowed 17 hits and 9 runs in his last 15 innings. On the road, Warren has a 4.24 ERA and a .276 batting average allowed. Even with a rocky July, Sanchez has a 2.71 ERA and 1.19 WHIP on the season. In 78.1 innings at home, Sanchez has a 1.15 ERA and a .197 allowed batting average. He’s one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. The Phillies are also due for an offensive breakout after quiet performances lately. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.