Pirates vs Braves Prediction 6/7/26 MLB Picks Today
Pittsburgh Pirates (34-31) vs. Atlanta Braves (44-21)
June 7, 2026 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -157 / Pittsburgh Pirates 130; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 7th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 44-21 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 21-11 home record and are coming off a 6-3 home win against the Pirates. They will face the White Sox and the Cardinals next.
The Braves have a .258 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .434 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.22 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Drake Baldwin is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 47, adding a team-high 17 home runs.
Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 5-3 record, 2.63 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 34-31 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 16-16 road record and are coming off a 3-6 road defeat against the Braves. They will face the Dodgers and the Marlins next.
The Pirates have a .255 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .315 batting average. Oneil Cruz leads the team in RBI with 44, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 15 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 2-6 record, 4.89 ERA and 1.51 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: June 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder Record this season: 5-3 ERA: 2.63
- Home Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Pirates: 1-2
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The Pirates have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 2-6 ERA: 5.05
- Road Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Braves: 1-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Bubba Chandler’s last six appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight home games against National League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Mauricio Dubon has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Pirates.
- Matt Olson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (17) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in three of his last four Sunday appearances with the Pirates as underdogs.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against the Braves.
- Oneil Cruz ranks 4th in the league in Steals (21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (334).
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (341).
- The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (571).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.337).
Pirates vs Braves Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Braves have won their last three meetings in Atlanta.
In this Pirates vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -150 home favorites. The Braves have the pitching edge with Elder on the mound, who has been excellent at home with a 3-1 record and 2.34 ERA, while Bubba Chandler has 4 earned runs in three of his last four starts. The Braves have the second-best offense and second-best bullpen ERA in baseball, they have been red-hot lately with a 7-2 record in their last 9 games and have been a top-3 home team this season. Take the Braves in this one.