Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction 7/1/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1st at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 36-50 this season after they won game one by a score of 7-0 on Monday night. Pittsburgh led 1-0 in the first inning, and they added six more in the fifth inning to pull away in the win. The Pirates recorded 11 hits in the game, and they were led by Horwitz, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Pittsburgh started Heaney, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Shugart closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates swept the Mets, but did lose two out of three against the Brewers before that. Pittsburgh has won four games in a row, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 304 runs with a .235 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 15 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 10 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 4-7 with a 2.12 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this season. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 47-39 this year after they dropped game one in this series on Monday night. St. Louis fell behind early in the game, and their offense never woke up for the loss. The Cardinals recorded just four hits in the game, and they were led by Fermin, who went 1-1 in the loss. St. Louis started Fedde, who allowed 10 hits and seven earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while King and Svanson closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Cardinals swept the Guardians in three games and split four games with the Cubs. St. Louis has won three of their last four games, and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 403 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this season. Wilson Contreras has led St. Louis with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs, and four stolen bases, while Nolan Arenado has added 10 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 5-4 with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cardinals will beat the Pirates

• The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Pirates following a road loss.
• The Pirates have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games following a road loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games.
• The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Cardinals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Pirates’ last 14 games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last seven Tuesday games against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in four of the Pirates’ last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against NL opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in four of the Pirates’ last five home games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL Central opponents.

Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction 

Pittsburgh was able to stay hot and record their fourth straight win on Monday night, as they try to crawl out of last place in the Central. The Pirates are 24-21 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 21-22 on the road. St. Louis has been shut out twice in their last five games, and they are facing Skenes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Cardinals are starting Pallante, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Pittsburgh is rolling, but they struggle to give Skenes run support, and this Cardinals offense can hit. Take St. Louis and the plus money here.