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Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction 5/27/25 MLB Picks Today

Pirates vs Diamondbacks
May 27, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pirates +210 / Diamondbacks -260 / Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday, May 27th at the Chase Field in the second game of this series, with the Dbacks having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance

The Pittsburgh Pirates’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates

Recent betting trends in games played between the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks game

Arizona Diamondbacks Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 27-27 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 14-13 home record and are 22-27 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-0 home victory over the Pirates, which ended their five-game losing streak. Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Braves and the Nationals next.

The Diamondbacks have a .256 batting average this season, a .333 OBP, and a .449 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with 58 hits and a team-high 15 home runs, while Geraldo Perdomo is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 41.

Corbin Burnes (R) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 3-2 record, 2.73 ERA, and 1.18 WHIP. He has been even better at home, with a 1.48 ERA across four home starts, and he has given up one run or less in four of his last five starts. Corbin Burnes is 7-2 with an ERA of 3.53, 92 strikeouts, and 1 save in 23 appearances versus the Pirates in his career.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 19-36 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL Central. They have a 6-20 road record, and are 20-32 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-5 road defeat by the Dbacks, and have back-to-back losses. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games are playing the Padres and the Astros next.

The Pirates have a .223 batting average this season, a .303 OBP, and a .329 slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Ke’Bryan Hayes leads the Pirates with 44 hits, while Bryan Reynolds leads the team with 27 RBI. Andrew McCutchen is the team’s best hitter with a .261 batting average.

Mike Burrows (R) will take the mound for the Pirates, and he has a 0-1 record, 7.20 ERA, and 1.20 WHIP. In his only start this season, he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings of work in an 8-5 loss to the Brewers.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Pirates have lost 16 of their last 17 games against NL West opponents.
  • The home team has won each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

  • The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight night games at Chase Field following a home win.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games at Chase Field following a home win.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Diamondbacks following a road loss.
  • The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Pirates’ last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Pirates’ last six games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (108).
  • The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.449).
  • The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (164).
  • The Pirates rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (64).

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are 8-3 in their last 11 meetings against the Pirates, and 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Arizona. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as huge -260 home favorites. The Dbacks are rightfully favored, as they have been the far better team this season, and the Pirates have been horrendous on the road. The Dbacks shut out the Pirates yesterday with a 5-0 score, and now they are putting their ace on the mound in Corbin Burnes, who has been excellent this season, and he is facing the Pirates’ bats, who are the 4th-worst hitting team in the league. Take the Arizona Diamondbacks on the runline for another easy home victory.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5

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