
Pirates vs Giants Prediction 8/5/25 MLB Picks Today
San Francisco Giants (56-57) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (49-64)
August 5, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates 129 / San Francisco Giants -158; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 5th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 49-64 this season after they won game one by a score of 5-4 on Monday. Pittsburgh trailed 4-1 in the seventh inning, but they scored twice in the seventh and twice in the ninth to escape with the victory. The Pirates recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Suwinski, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Pittsburgh started Oviedo, who allowed two hits and two earned runs over just one inning, while Moreta picked up the win.
Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Rockies, but did sweep the Giants before that. Pittsburgh has won seven of its last nine games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 404 runs with a .232 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 18 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 10 home runs and 52 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mike Burrows, who is 1-3 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this season.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 56-57 this year after they dropped a heartbreaker in game one of this series. San Francisco led 2-0 in the first and 4-1 in the fifth, but they failed to score over the last four innings for the loss. The Giants recorded seven hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. SF started Verlander, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Rodriguez blew the save and got the loss.
Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against the Mets, but got swept by the Pirates before that. San Francisco has lost eight of their last ten games, and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 469 runs with a .233 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this season. Wilmer Flores has led San Francisco with 12 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Willy Adames has added 17 home runs and 59 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 9-8 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 141.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Pirates will beat the Giants
- The underdogs have won each of the last nine games between the Giants and Pirates.
- The Giants have lost each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in each of their last three games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Giants will beat the Pirates
- The Pirates have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Giants have won each of their last four games against the Pirates following a road loss.
- The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Pirates following a road loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against the Giants at PNC Park following a home win.
- The Giants have led after 3 innings in each of their last three road night games.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in five of their last six road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Giants’ last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the last five games between the Giants and Pirates at PNC Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight Tuesday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Giants’ last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
Pirates vs Giants Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup playing some very strong baseball over the last 10 days, and they are 4-0 over the Giants in the last week. The Pirates are 32-25 at home this year, while the Giants are 28-31 on the road. San Francisco is in a free fall right now, and they are starting Webb, who has allowed 1, 6, and 4 earned runs in his last three starts. The Pirates are going with Burrows, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Take the under in this contest.