Pirates vs Marlins Prediction 8/12/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 12^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 61-59 record this season and are sitting in 3rd place in the NL East. They have a 37-24 home record and are coming off a 2-0 home win against the Pirates. They will face the Reds and the Phillies next.

The Miami Marlins have a .250 batting average this season, a .326 OBP, and a .404 slugging percentage. The Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with a .318 batting average and a team-high 53 RBI, while Heriberto Hernandez leads the team with a team-high 16 home runs.

Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 5-7 record, a 4.63 ERA, and a 1.36 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 58-63 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the NL Central. They have a 28-33 away record and are coming off a 0-2 away loss against the Marlins. They will face the Red Sox and the Tigers next.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .256 batting average this season, a .333 OBP, and a .410 slugging percentage. The Pirates’ pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pirates with a .304 batting average, while Brandon Lowe leads the team with 25 home runs and a team-high 74 RBI.

Carmen Mlodzinski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 6-4 record, a 3.51 ERA, and a 1.36 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: August 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Janson Junk      Record this season: 5-7      ERA: 4.63
• Home Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last four road games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski      Record this season: 6-4      ERA: 3.51
• Road Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-1

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last five night games against the Marlins following a road loss.
• The Marlins have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Pirates’ last six games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against the Pirates following a win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in 12 of their last 15 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last six night games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last six Wednesday games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Janson Junk has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (148) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Endy Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Gonzales ranks 6th in the league in Hits (133) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (125).
• The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1068).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).

Pirates vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Pirates and have won their last three meetings in Miami.

In this Pirates vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -115 home favorites. I like the Marlins in this one, as they are facing a struggling Pirates squad that is 1-6 in its last 7 games. Mlodzinski was torched in his last start, while Junk has been in excellent form for the Marlins, with just three earned runs across his last three starts. On top of that, the Marlins have a much better offense than the Pirates lately and I expect them to get the job done at home in this one.