Pirates vs Reds Prediction 6/27/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 27th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 41-41 this season after they lost game one by a score of 4-6 on Friday night. Pittsburgh led 1-0 in the first inning and they tied the game at four in the sixth, but couldn’t score anymore for the loss. The Pirates recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Griffin, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Skenes allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Montgomery allowed two earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh won two out of three against the Mariners, but lost two out of three against the Rockies before that. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 413 runs with a .257 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds has led the Pirates with 11 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 19 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 1-1 with a 5.75 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 20.1 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 38-42 this year after they won game one by a score of 6-4 last night. Cincinnati scored four runs in the second inning and two more in the eighth for the victory. The Reds recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Marte, who went 1-1 with one home run and two RBIs. Abbott allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Burke got the win and Ferguson picked up the save. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost all three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the Yankees before that. 

This season, Cincinnati has a 4.48 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 337 runs with a .226 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 14 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 12 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 9-1 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 85.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Pirates have won 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs against the Reds following a home loss.
• The Pirates have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Reds.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home day games.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The road team has won each of the Reds’ last six games.
• The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 12 home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Reds have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Reds’ last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 11 of the Pirates’ last 12 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 games.
• Henry Davis has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.402) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games.
• Chase Burns has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
• Blake Dunn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
• Chase Burns has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
• Chase Burns ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (730).
• The Pirates rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (413).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (607).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.226).

Pirates vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati was able to snap their losing streak with a win on Friday night and they have scored 4+ runs in three of their last five games. The Reds are 19-20 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 22-21 at home. Pittsburgh has won three of their last five games and they have scored 20 runs in their last three. The Pirates are starting Jones, who has allowed 1, 5, 2, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last five outings, while Burns has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. Take the Reds here.