Pirates vs Rockies Prediction 6/21/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Rockies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 21^st in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Colorado Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies have a 30-47 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL West. They have a 16-20 home record and are coming off a 2-1 home win against the Pirates. They will face the Red Sox and the Twins next.

The Rockies have a .252 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.49 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Troy Johnston is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Hunter Goodman leads the team in RBI with 39, adding a team-high 21 home runs.

Michael Lorenzen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rockies, and he has a 2-8 record, 7.13 ERA and 1.85 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 38-39 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 18-20 road record and are coming off a 1-2 road defeat against the Rockies. They will face the Mariners and the Reds next.

The Pirates have a .254 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .407 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 49, adding a team-high 18 home runs.

Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 1-1 record, 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: June 21, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael Lorenzen      Record this season: 2-8      ERA: 7.13
• Home Record: 1-3
• Last 5 against Pirates: 1-1

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones      Record this season: 1-1      ERA: 6.23
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Rockies: 0-1

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Rockies have lost seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have won four of their last five day games against the Rockies following a loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last six Sunday games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against the Rockies at Coors Field.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rockies’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last four games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Michael Lorenzen’s last six appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Jared Jones’ last six road appearances as a starter.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Goodman ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (21) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.400) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.49).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.285).
• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (675).
• The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (714).

Pirates vs Rockies Prediction

The Rockies are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Pirates and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Colorado.

In this Pirates vs Rockies Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -160 road favorites. When the Pirates cannot win the Rockies with Skenes on the mound, I’m sure not going to back them to win with Jared Jones and his 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. He goes up against Michael Lorenzen who has just one earned run in each of his last two starts and will face a struggling Pirates offense that has scored three runs or less in six of its last eight games. Take the Rockies on the moneyline for plus money.