Pirates vs Yankees Prediction 4/5/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 5th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 2-6 this season after they lost to the Yankees on Friday by a score of 9-4. Pittsburgh cut the deficit to 4-1 in the third inning, but they allowed the next five runs before rallying with three in the seventh in the loss. The Pirates recorded nine hits and committed two errors while they were led by Hayes, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the game. Pittsburgh started Keller, who allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Mayza allowed three hits and two earned runs over 2.0 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates had lost two out of three games against the Rays and three out of four games against the Marlins. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 23 runs with a .204 batting average and a .294 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with two home runs and four RBIs, while Adam Frazier has also added four RBIs so far this season. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 5-2 this year after they won the first game in this series by a score of 9-4. New York led 4-1 in the third inning, and they added five runs between the fourth and seventh innings to pull away with the win. The Yankees recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Cabrera, who had four RBIs in the game, while Judge and Dominguez added two RBIs each. New York started Fried, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Cruz allowed three earned runs and three hits over 0.2 innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks but did sweep the Brewers in three games to start the season. The New York pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .215 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 62 runs with a .288 batting average and a .376 on-base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with six home runs and 17 RBIs, while Anthony Volpe has added four home runs and nine RBIs on the year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Marcus Stroman, who is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 4.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Pirates will beat the Yankees

• The Pirates have won each of their last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last three games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road games.

Why the Yankees will beat the Pirates

• The Yankees have won each of their last 10 games as road favorites.
• The Pirates have lost six of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last five home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Tommy Pham has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded an RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in each of the Pirates’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last seven games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in each of his nine previous Saturday appearances against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Marcus Stroman has recorded four or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 18 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last nine road appearances.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances.
• DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Pirates vs Yankees Prediction 

New York rolls into this matchup with one of the highest-scoring lineups in baseball to start this season, and they have scored nine runs in back-to-back games. Pittsburgh is just 2-6 so far this year, and they have allowed at least six runs in three of their last four games. The Pirates might have a small advantage on the mound with Falter, but that is only because Stroman has really regressed in recent seasons. New York’s offense should have another huge day in this contest, but I also expect Stroman to have his fair share of troubles. Take the over here.