Pirates vs Reds Prediction 8/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Thursday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pirates vs Reds Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will start Brady Singer here and Singer is 9-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. In his career, Singer is 2-2 with a 5.66 ERA and 18 strikeouts against Pittsburgh. The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Paul Skenes here and Skenes is 6-8 with a 2.02 ERA and 154 strikeouts this season. In his career, Skenes is 3-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 25 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from a 6-1 loss at the hands of the Chicago Cubs last time out to sit at 60-55 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Reds Looking To Build On Series Win

Elly De La Cruz has 123 hits with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs, 24 doubles and 30 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 111 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 37 RBIs with 10 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 86 hits with 18 doubles and 42 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 13 home runs and 50 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 11 homers, 38 RBIs and 16 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 19 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won three of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Pirates following a loss.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three night games.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in each of his three previous appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.
• Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks T5th in the league in Steals (30) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to rebound from their 4-2 loss at the hands of the San Francisco Giants last time out to sit at 49-66 this season. After this series, the Pirates will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Pirates Drop Back-To-Back Series

Bryan Reynolds has 100 hits with 24 doubles, 10 home runs and 53 RBIs while also posting 124 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 18 home runs and 48 RBIs with 34 stolen bases while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 90 hits with 14 doubles and 14 stolen bases. Cruz also has a team-high 138 strikeouts as well this season. Tommy Pham has 12 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 90 hits with 16 doubles as well this season.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last 12 home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have lost seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in four of the Pirates’ last seven games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Paul Skenes ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.02) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Reds’ last 10 road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the last eight games between the Reds and Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Pirates vs Reds Prediction

I’m on the Pirates in this one. I get the case to be made for Cincinnati, as this is a Reds team that’s still in the playoff hunt, but the Pirates have still been playing some decent baseball. They are starting to give some run support to Paul Skenes, which was a problem in the past. Skenes had a rough start last time out, but I’m simply chalking that up to his Coors Field debut. Skenes has been great at home and I think he has another strong showing here. Give me Pittsburgh in this one.