Pittsburgh Pirates vs LA Dodgers Prediction 6/11/26 MLB Picks Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Thursday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Justin Wrobleski for the start here and Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.62 ERA and 44 strikeouts this season. This will be Wrobleski’s first career start against the Pirates. Mitch Keller will start here for the Pirates and is 5-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Dodgers, Keller is 2-2 with a 5.88 ERA and 33 strikeouts.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to shake off a 9-8 loss at the hands of the Pirates last time out to sit at 43-25 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head on the road for a series against the Chicago White Sox.

Dodgers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Entering Wednesday, Andy Pages has 71 hits with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 56 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 50 hits with 8 doubles, 7 home runs and 31 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 71 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 37 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 69 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 36 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 54 hits with 8 doubles, 14 home runs and 23 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 54 hits with 15 doubles, 5 home runs and 31 RBIs this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Dodgers from Wednesday to sit at 35-33 this season. After this series, the Pirates will take on the Miami Marlins in a series at home.

Pirates Snap Four-Game Losing Skid

Going into Wednesday, Oneil Cruz has 66 hits including 10 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 RBIs while Ryan O’Hearn has 53 hits with 6 doubles, 10 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Nick Gonzales has 69 hits with 11 doubles and 31 RBIs while Brandon Lowe has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 15 home runs and 41 RBIs and Bryan Reynolds has 63 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 7 home runs and 40 RBIs as well this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 11, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Mitch Keller      Record this season: 5-3      ERA: 4.81
• Home Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 2-2

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Dodgers.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Pirates following a road loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home underdogs against the Dodgers.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games at PNC Park.
• The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Justin Wrobleski      Record this season: 7-2      ERA: 2.62
• Road Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last four games against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last three games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Dodgers’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Dodgers’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the last 12 games between the Dodgers and Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against the Dodgers.
• Jared Triolo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Andy Pages has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
• Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.413) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (628).
• The Pirates rank T3rd in the league for home runs allowed this season (62).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.264).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.444).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

I’m on the Dodgers here. Mitch Keller’s been getting crushed in his last couple of outings, and this Pirates lineup has really struggled against lefties as of late. The Dodgers have been crushing righties and I look for them to get to Keller and make amends for the collapse on Wednesday. Give me the Dodgers.